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I agree with everything you are saying. This does look like good news.

However, we should remember that this is probably a mild overestimate, as the study population was assembled from those who were out and about (shopping at the grocery store, etc). People who are more strictly staying home -- and thus less likely to have been infected -- wouldn't be included in the survey.



Another way to look at it is that 20% of people most likely to contribute to a high transmission rate already have had it, in turn flattening the curve by a considerable amount




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