I think you are voicing an opinion and not facts. Emacs is the ultimate modular IDE, yet its not that popular! I was a big emacs fan in the past; but I've gotten used to graphical IDEs enough that I wouldn't consider going back. I'm sure many developers feel the same. Menus...you don't use them very often and I could imagine replacing that with an emacs like shell line with appropriate auto-completion for finding commands, but this would have its own usability problems. I think the Cloud9 team is getting this more right by simply being more minimal in their design.
Now, whether developers would prefer a more integrated experience is either unknown or known to be false (wrt current technology). One of the reasons my version of the Scala IDE failed was that I was focusing too much on the editing experience whereas the community really wanted integration with every little dinky Java tool you could imagine.
I'm totally expressing opinion. :) I believe it is opinion grounded in 20 years of experience, but it is opinion none the less. In that time, I've gone from emacs to Visual Studio to multiple java IDEs and finally landed back on emacs.
Emacs is not perfect (far from it!). There are many places where some graphics would go a long way towards improving the UI. Re-implementing emacs would be a bad idea, but learning what works (eg everything is a buffer, everything is easily [for a prorammer] extensible) will go a long way towards making an improved replacement.
My rant on menus is not about "it should be in the shell". I'm fine with the context being different. I just want my interactions to be the same. If I am searching for some code or searching for some editor command, the context is different but the interaction is the same. Every other piece of software makes the interaction different.
I point at emacs, but vi is another good example (just with a different implementation). And I don't want to disparage what the VisualAge folks did (I never saw the smalltalk stuff, but even the much-less-mature java stuff was amazing). But it didn't stick. Why is that? Once they answer that (I've given my opinion, but I could very easily be wrong), they'll be able to change the software development.
The kickstarter made it sound like Light Table would revolutionize programming. I'm all for that, but what I've seen so far doesn't do this. Instead, it makes a really cool tool. There is nothing wrong with that (I use a lot of them), and if that's the case, I'll shut up. :)
I'm passionate about this because, in the end, emacs, vi, and every IDE I've used are far from ideal. I want to uninstall emacs and never look back.
Now, whether developers would prefer a more integrated experience is either unknown or known to be false (wrt current technology). One of the reasons my version of the Scala IDE failed was that I was focusing too much on the editing experience whereas the community really wanted integration with every little dinky Java tool you could imagine.