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I actually do doubt that LLMs will create AGI but when these systems are emulating a variety of human behaviors in a way that isn't directly programmed and is good enough to be useful, it seems foolish to not take notice.

The current crop of systems is a product of the transformers architecture - an innovation that accelerated performance significantly. I put the odds another changing everything but I don't think we can entirely discount the possibility. That no one understands these systems cuts both ways.



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